The Yankees currently sit at +850 odds on DraftKings Sportsbook to win the 2021 World Series. They are average in pretty much every stat category there is. On the surface, this doesn’t seem like the most enticing World Series future bet out there, but it may be the right one.
When looking at the Yankees this year, you see a streaky team, with unimpressive stats in both hitting and pitching and a lot of big names. What you don’t see is how injuries have devastated the lineup all year, including throughout their 13-game win streak this year. The team has had at least 2 starting pitchers out since the beginning of the year, including Luis Severino.
Ironically enough, the win streak spanned throughout arguably the hardest stretch of the Yankees’ season. Since the end of the win streak, the team has cooled off significantly with a couple short losing streaks peppered in.
However, Severino, Jonathan Loaisiga, and Domingo German are all expected to be back in the second half of September, just in time for a last minute playoff push and carry this team deep into the post-season. Additionally, the bats for the Yankees are starting to come alive as Joey Gallo and Anthony Rizzo continue to get comfortable in the pinstripes.
As of this writing, the Yankees stand 8.5 games back of the Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East, and are 0.5 games ahead in the AL Wildcard race. If things continue on this path, they’ll play their rival Red Sox in what will surely be a high-scoring, back and forth run-happy wildcard game.
My prediction is that if the Yankees can maintain a home field in the Wildcard game, they win that game, then go on to win the World Series. They’ve proven they can beat any team in MLB and can get hot at the drop of a hat. Assuming they can get healthy, and stay healthy, I see their pitching leading the way, and the batting not far behind. With the offense they have, there are no holes in the batting order, there’s no opportunities for opposing pitchers to catch their breath. For a team with this much potential at the plate, and some key pieces in the pitching staff ready to return I’ll take the +850 odds all day everyday.
While I’m ready to put my money where my mouth is, it’s not without some risk. Currently the biggest hole on the Yankees that I see is their ability to close out games. To say that Aroldis Chapman is currently struggling is an understatement. Chapman has had more than one meltdown over the past several weeks and has almost singlehandedly lost a couple games for the team.
Yankee’s Manager Aaron Boone has persistently and publicly made it clear he believes in Chapman and will continue to rely on Chapman as the closer as the season winds down. It is my expectation that the firepower at the plate will provide enough run support that they will not have to rely solely on the unreliable closer.